AppraisrAppraisr
CryptoPunks V1 #3780

#3780

Male
Messy HairShadow BeardYesLight
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
2.872Ξ
$5.4K
Floor
2.190Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+31%
+0.682Ξ over floor

💰 Best offer 2.700Ξ — sell instantly

Listed at 5.800Ξ102% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade V1 Punk, from recent CryptoPunks V1sales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline V1 Punk). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable CryptoPunks V1actually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Light
+7%
Messy Hair
+3%
Shadow Beard
+2%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest V1 Punk you could buy right now (2.190Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real CryptoPunks V1 sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 2.473Ξ4.035Ξ. Local evidence is high (13.9 effective comparables, best similarity 78%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 25% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 7/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 2.429Ξ versus the current ask of 5.800Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity