AppraisrAppraisr
CryptoPunks V1 #2653

#2653

Male
Do-ragHorned Rim GlassesHandlebarsYesAlbino
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
2.761Ξ
$5.1K
Floor
2.190Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+26%
+0.571Ξ over floor

💰 Best offer 2.420Ξ — sell instantly

Listed at 3.100Ξ12% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade V1 Punk, from recent CryptoPunks V1sales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline V1 Punk). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable CryptoPunks V1actually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Albino
+11%
Do-rag
-1%
Handlebars
-1%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest V1 Punk you could buy right now (2.190Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real CryptoPunks V1 sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 2.369Ξ3.911Ξ. Local evidence is high (13.8 effective comparables, best similarity 66%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 25% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 46/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 2.390Ξ versus the current ask of 3.100Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity