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Quirkies #286

#286

Quirkie Bones OozeQuirkie Bones OozeQuirkie Bones OozeQuirkie Bones OozeQuirkie Bones OozeThe Blues
View on OpenSea โ†—
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fair value
11.43ฮž
$21.3K
Floor
1.083ฮž
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+956%
+10.35ฮž over floor

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best offer 3.990ฮž โ€” sell instantly

Listed at 18.00ฮž โ€” 57% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

๐ŸŒŸ Grail โ€” thinly traded

supported evidence

This is a 1-of-1 / hyper-rare trait. The estimate uses 26 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how Quirkies's other ultra-rare items trade against floor. The range 9.786ฮžโ€“13.78ฮž is the middle half (P25โ€“P75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ€” its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.

Evidence: 0 token sales ยท 0 comparable rare asks ยท executable specific bid ยท active token ask.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor โ€” the cheapest Quirkie you could buy right now (1.083ฮž) โ€” and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Quirkies sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 9.786ฮžโ€“13.78ฮž. Local evidence is medium (13.9 effective comparables, best similarity 6%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 39% of items. See the full evaluation โ†’

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 4/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 4.705ฮž versus the current ask of 18.00ฮž. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity