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Quirkies #1436

#1436

AstroQuirk Squid SampleHead BandRainbow FaceQuirkbot MK2Double GreenPinkish
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🔮 Fair value
1.539Ξ
$4.5K
Floor
1.026Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+50%
+0.513Ξ over floor

Listed at 1.690Ξ10% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Quirkie you could buy right now (1.026Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Quirkies sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The 80% range is 1.296Ξ1.739Ξ; on a hold-out of recent sales the premium lands within ±5% on 32% of items. See the full backtest →

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How fast will it sell?

Your estimated chance of selling at each listing price (blue), and the chance an owner takes a bid at each price (green). List closer to the floor to sell faster.

~41% sale chance at current ask

To reach roughly 80% sale likelihood, list around 1.433Ξ versus the current ask of 1.690Ξ. Modeled from real price dispersion, so it's directional, not a guarantee.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity