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Pudgy Penguins #77

#77

Lei PurpleCircle GlassesHat BlueIceMint
View on OpenSea โ†—
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fair value
10.58ฮž
$19.7K
Floor
3.880ฮž
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+173%
+6.700ฮž over floor

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best offer 10.58ฮž โ€” sell instantly

๐ŸŒŸ Grail โ€” thinly traded

supported evidence

Skin: Ice is a ultra-rare trait. The estimate uses 265 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how Pudgy Penguins's other ultra-rare items trade against floor. The range 10.58ฮžโ€“10.58ฮž is the middle half (P25โ€“P75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ€” its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.

Evidence: 1 token sales ยท 0 comparable rare asks ยท executable specific bid.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor โ€” the cheapest Penguin you could buy right now (3.880ฮž) โ€” and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Pudgy Penguins sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 10.58ฮžโ€“10.58ฮž. Local evidence is high (11.0 effective comparables, best similarity 38%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 68% of items. See the full evaluation โ†’

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Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 6.225ฮž. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity