💰 Best offer 5.460Ξ — sell instantly
Listed at 20.00Ξ for 66 days, still unsold — the market won't meet it, so fair value is now below the ask.
Won't clear🎯 Priced off recent Kimono Ice sales
last-sale pegPudgy Penguins Kimono Ice sales are the benchmark here. Last one sold 15.00Ξ when the floor was 4.585Ξ (May 24); the one before went 120.0Ξ at a 13.75Ξ floor (Jul 23). Adjusted to today's 3.388Ξ floor, that puts it at 28.33Ξ.
Rare kinds trade too seldom to price statistically, so we peg to what the last ones actually sold for — weighted toward the most recent, and only partly adjusted for the floor, because grails hold value better than the floor when it falls.
How this value is formed
We start from the live floor — the cheapest Penguin you could buy right now (3.388Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Pudgy Penguins sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 12.73Ξ–12.73Ξ. Local evidence is high (13.7 effective comparables, best similarity 30%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 63% of items. See the full evaluation →
Price sensitivity
Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.
A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 6.658Ξ versus the current ask of 20.00Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.
Comparable recent sales
The closest real sales by trait similarity
