AppraisrAppraisr
Pudgy Penguins #7045

#7045

Bow Tie BlackMustacheFlat Cap BlackMintRed
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
2.443Ξ
$5.4K
Floor
2.239Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+9%
+0.204Ξ over floor

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Penguin, from recent Pudgy Penguinssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Penguin). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Pudgy Penguinsactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Mint
+7%
Bow Tie Black
+2%
Mustache
+2%
Flat Cap Black
+1%
Red
+1%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Penguin you could buy right now (2.239Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Pudgy Penguins sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 2.279Ξ–2.673Ξ. Local evidence is high (6.1 effective comparables, best similarity 100%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 64% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 2.311Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity