💰 Best offer 3.040Ξ — sell instantly
🎯 Priced off recent Hatched Gold sales
last-sale pegPudgy Penguins Hatched Gold sales are the benchmark here. Last one sold 14.99Ξ when the floor was 4.250Ξ (Feb 20); the one before went 8.950Ξ at a 4.372Ξ floor (Jan 5). Adjusted to today's 2.240Ξ floor, that puts it at 9.852Ξ.
Rare kinds trade too seldom to price statistically, so we peg to what the last ones actually sold for — weighted toward the most recent, and only partly adjusted for the floor, because grails hold value better than the floor when it falls.
How this value is formed
We start from the live floor — the cheapest Penguin you could buy right now (2.240Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Pudgy Penguins sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 9.852Ξ–11.83Ξ. Local evidence is high (12.9 effective comparables, best similarity 100%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 64% of items. See the full evaluation →
Price sensitivity
Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.
A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 4.904Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.
Comparable recent sales
The closest real sales by trait similarity
