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Pudgy Penguins #5817

#5817

Bronze MedalCircle GlassesCamo HelmetNormalMint
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
4.916Ξ
$14.5K
Floor
4.515Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+9%
+0.401Ξ over floor

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Penguin, from recent Pudgy Penguinssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Penguin). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Pudgy Penguinsactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Mint
+5%
Bronze Medal
+3%
Circle Glasses
+3%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Penguin you could buy right now (4.515Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Pudgy Penguins sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The 80% range is 4.536Ξ5.767Ξ; on a hold-out of recent sales the premium lands within ±5% on 46% of items. See the full backtest →

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How fast will it sell?

Your estimated chance of selling at each listing price (blue), and the chance an owner takes a bid at each price (green). List closer to the floor to sell faster.

To reach roughly 80% sale likelihood, list around 4.582Ξ. Modeled from real price dispersion, so it's directional, not a guarantee.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity