Pudgy Penguins

Pudgy Penguins Ice sales are the benchmark here. Last one sold 26.69Ξ when the floor was 2.317Ξ (Oct 27); the one before went 19.29Ξ at a 2.959Ξ floor (Oct 6). Adjusted to today's 2.239Ξ floor, that puts it at 23.50Ξ.

Rare kinds trade too seldom to price statistically, so we peg to what the last ones actually sold for — weighted toward the most recent, and only partly adjusted for the floor, because grails hold value better than the floor when it falls.

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Penguin, from recent Pudgy Penguinssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Penguin). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Pudgy Penguinsactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Penguin you could buy right now (2.239Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Pudgy Penguins sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 21.44Ξ–26.48Ξ. Local evidence is medium (13.8 effective comparables, best similarity 26%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 64% of items. See the full evaluation →