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Pudgy Penguins #58

#58

Christmas Sweater RedSquadTop HatNormalBlue
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
5.032Ξ
$14.8K
Floor
4.480Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+12%
+0.552Ξ over floor

Listed at 9.990Ξ99% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Penguin you could buy right now (4.480Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Pudgy Penguins sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The 80% range is 4.639Ξ5.903Ξ; on a hold-out of recent sales the premium lands within ±5% on 47% of items. See the full backtest →

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How fast will it sell?

Your estimated chance of selling at each listing price (blue), and the chance an owner takes a bid at each price (green). List closer to the floor to sell faster.

~0% sale chance at current ask

To reach roughly 80% sale likelihood, list around 4.682Ξ versus the current ask of 9.990Ξ. Modeled from real price dispersion, so it's directional, not a guarantee.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity