AppraisrAppraisr
Pudgy Penguins #404

#404

Hawaiian ShirtWinkingFlat Cap TanNormalTangerine
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
3.929Ξ
$7.3K
Floor
3.880Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+1%
+0.049Ξ over floor

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Penguin, from recent Pudgy Penguinssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Penguin). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Pudgy Penguinsactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Hawaiian Shirt
-1%
Flat Cap Tan
-1%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Penguin you could buy right now (3.880Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Pudgy Penguins sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 3.880Ξ4.303Ξ. Local evidence is high (12.2 effective comparables, best similarity 100%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 68% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 3.897Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity