AppraisrAppraisr
Pudgy Penguins #3785

#3785

Turtleneck GreenGogglesBowl CutGoldPurple
View on OpenSea โ†—
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fair value
9.171ฮž
$20.5K
Floor
2.240ฮž
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+309%
+6.931ฮž over floor

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best offer 8.510ฮž โ€” sell instantly ยท a funded bid on Background: Purple

๐ŸŽฏ Priced off recent Gold sales

last-sale peg

Pudgy Penguins Gold sales are the benchmark here. Last one sold 12.18ฮž when the floor was 4.087ฮž (Aug 29); the one before went 12.00ฮž at a 4.360ฮž floor (Feb 28). Adjusted to today's 2.240ฮž floor, that puts it at 9.171ฮž.

Rare kinds trade too seldom to price statistically, so we peg to what the last ones actually sold for โ€” weighted toward the most recent, and only partly adjusted for the floor, because grails hold value better than the floor when it falls.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor โ€” the cheapest Penguin you could buy right now (2.240ฮž) โ€” and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Pudgy Penguins sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 9.171ฮžโ€“9.171ฮž. Local evidence is high (13.6 effective comparables, best similarity 21%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 64% of items. See the full evaluation โ†’

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Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 4.666ฮž. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity