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Pudgy Penguins #2814

#2814

Bow Tie BlackVillain MaskFlat Cap TanBaby PinkMint
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
2.436Ξ
$5.5K
Floor
2.240Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+9%
+0.196Ξ over floor

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Penguin, from recent Pudgy Penguinssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Penguin). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Pudgy Penguinsactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Villain Mask
+3%
Bow Tie Black
+2%
Mint
+2%
Baby Pink
+1%
Flat Cap Tan
-1%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Penguin you could buy right now (2.240Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Pudgy Penguins sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 2.259Ξ–2.688Ξ. Local evidence is high (12.9 effective comparables, best similarity 44%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 64% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 2.309Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity