AppraisrAppraisr
Pudgy Penguins #1540

#1540

PonchoWinkingIce CrownNormalMint
View on OpenSea โ†—
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fair value
23.16ฮž
$52K
Floor
2.240ฮž
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+934%
+20.92ฮž over floor

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best offer 6.690ฮž โ€” sell instantly ยท a funded bid on Head: Ice Crown

๐ŸŽฏ Priced off recent Ice Crown sales

last-sale peg

Pudgy Penguins Ice Crown sales are the benchmark here. Last one sold 14.85ฮž when the floor was 4.997ฮž (Nov 19); the one before went 120.0ฮž at a 13.74ฮž floor (Jul 23). Adjusted to today's 2.240ฮž floor, that puts it at 23.16ฮž.

Rare kinds trade too seldom to price statistically, so we peg to what the last ones actually sold for โ€” weighted toward the most recent, and only partly adjusted for the floor, because grails hold value better than the floor when it falls.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor โ€” the cheapest Penguin you could buy right now (2.240ฮž) โ€” and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Pudgy Penguins sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 23.16ฮžโ€“23.16ฮž. Local evidence is high (13.7 effective comparables, best similarity 43%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 64% of items. See the full evaluation โ†’

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Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 9.562ฮž. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity