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Normies #313

#313

Middle-AgedNo GlassesHuman1FemaleHeadbandNoNeutralStraight Hair5480Rosy Cheeks
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
0.544Ξ
$1.6K
Floor
0.500Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+9%
+0.044Ξ over floor

Listed at 0.900Ξ65% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Normie you could buy right now (0.500Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Normies sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The 80% range is 0.500Ξ1.171Ξ; on a hold-out of recent sales the premium lands within ±5% on 5% of items. See the full backtest →

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How fast will it sell?

Your estimated chance of selling at each listing price (blue), and the chance an owner takes a bid at each price (green). List closer to the floor to sell faster.

~4% sale chance at current ask

To reach roughly 80% sale likelihood, list around 0.481Ξ versus the current ask of 0.900Ξ. Modeled from real price dispersion, so it's directional, not a guarantee.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity