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Mutant Ape Yacht Club #9509

#9509

M2 PinkM2 Seaman's HatM2 ClosedM2 BoredM2 Bayc T RedM2 Gray
View on OpenSea โ†—
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fair value
1.529ฮž
$2.8K
Floor
1.167ฮž
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+31%
+0.362ฮž over floor

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best offer 1.360ฮž โ€” sell instantly

Listed at 4.000ฮž โ€” 162% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

๐ŸŒŸ Grail โ€” thinly traded

supported evidence

Clothes: M2 Bayc T Red is a ultra-rare trait. The estimate uses 517 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how other Clothes items in Mutant Ape Yacht Club trade against floor. The range 1.366ฮžโ€“1.775ฮž is the middle half (P25โ€“P75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ€” its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.

Evidence: 5 token sales ยท 4 comparable rare asks ยท executable specific bid ยท active token ask.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor โ€” the cheapest Mutant you could buy right now (1.167ฮž) โ€” and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Mutant Ape Yacht Club sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 1.366ฮžโ€“1.775ฮž. Local evidence is high (5.8 effective comparables, best similarity 100%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 37% of items. See the full evaluation โ†’

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Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 0/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 1.294ฮž versus the current ask of 4.000ฮž. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity