AppraisrAppraisr
Mutant Ape Yacht Club #3869

#3869

M1 BlackM1 Fisherman's HatM1 ClosedM1 BoredM1 Stunt JacketM1 New Punk Blue
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
1.390Ξ
$2.6K
Floor
1.167Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+19%
+0.223Ξ over floor

Listed at 2.420Ξ74% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Mutant, from recent Mutant Ape Yacht Clubsales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Mutant). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Mutant Ape Yacht Clubactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

M1 Fisherman's Hat
+2%
M1 Stunt Jacket
+2%
M1 Black
-1%
M1 Closed
-2%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Mutant you could buy right now (1.167Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Mutant Ape Yacht Club sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 1.205Ξ1.608Ξ. Local evidence is high (10.3 effective comparables, best similarity 100%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 37% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 2/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 1.245Ξ versus the current ask of 2.420Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity