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Mutant Ape Yacht Club #22415

#22415

M2 NoiseM2 Bunny EarsM2 Blue BeamsM2 Bored BubblegumM2 Puffy VestM2 New Punk Blue
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
4.329Ξ
$10.5K
Floor
0.836Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+418%
+3.493Ξ over floor

🎯 Priced off recent M2 Blue Beams sales

last-sale peg

Mutant Ape Yacht Club M2 Blue Beams sales are the benchmark here. Last one sold 4.269Ξ when the floor was 0.752Ξ (Oct 23); the one before went 3.800Ξ at a 0.752Ξ floor (Oct 23). Adjusted to today's 0.836Ξ floor, that puts it at 4.329Ξ.

Rare kinds trade too seldom to price statistically, so we peg to what the last ones actually sold for — weighted toward the most recent, and only partly adjusted for the floor, because grails hold value better than the floor when it falls.

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Mutant, from recent Mutant Ape Yacht Clubsales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Mutant). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Mutant Ape Yacht Clubactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

M2 Blue Beams
+375%
M2 Noise
+13%
M2 New Punk Blue
+8%
M2 Bunny Ears
+1%
M2 Bored Bubblegum
-2%
M2 Puffy Vest
-2%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Mutant you could buy right now (0.836Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Mutant Ape Yacht Club sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 3.921Ξ–5.243Ξ. Local evidence is medium (6.3 effective comparables, best similarity 27%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 53% of items. See the full evaluation →

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Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 2.059Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity