๐ Grail โ thinly traded
supported evidenceMouth: M1 Bored Unshaven Dagger is a ultra-rare trait. The estimate uses 438 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how other Mouth items in Mutant Ape Yacht Club trade against floor. The range 1.265ฮโ1.751ฮ is the middle half (P25โP75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.
Evidence: 3 token sales ยท 0 comparable rare asks ยท collection bid only.
How this value is formed
We start from the live floor โ the cheapest Mutant you could buy right now (1.130ฮ) โ and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Mutant Ape Yacht Club sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 1.265ฮโ1.751ฮ. Local evidence is high (10.5 effective comparables, best similarity 33%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 37% of items. See the full evaluation โ
Price sensitivity
Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.
A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 1.241ฮ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.
Comparable recent sales
The closest real sales by trait similarity
