What's driving the premium
Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Moonbird, from recent Moonbirdssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Moonbird). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Moonbirdsactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.
How this value is formed
We start from the live floor — the cheapest Moonbird you could buy right now (0.700Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Moonbirds sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The 80% range is 0.700Ξ–0.882Ξ; on a hold-out of recent sales the premium lands within ±5% on 21% of items. See the full backtest →
How fast will it sell?
Your estimated chance of selling at each listing price (blue), and the chance an owner takes a bid at each price (green). List closer to the floor to sell faster.
To reach roughly 80% sale likelihood, list around 0.720Ξ. Modeled from real price dispersion, so it's directional, not a guarantee.
Comparable recent sales
The closest real sales by trait similarity
