Listed at 0.575Ξ — 15% above fair value
Overpaying for traitsWhat's driving the premium
Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Moonbird, from recent Moonbirdssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Moonbird). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Moonbirdsactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.
How this value is formed
We start from the live floor — the cheapest Moonbird you could buy right now (0.498Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Moonbirds sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.498Ξ–0.574Ξ. Local evidence is high (5.2 effective comparables, best similarity 100%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 46% of items. See the full evaluation →
Price sensitivity
Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.
A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.498Ξ versus the current ask of 0.575Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.
Comparable recent sales
The closest real sales by trait similarity
