AppraisrAppraisr
Moonbirds #487

#487

LongSkeletonAviatorsBoneBowGray
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
0.991Ξ
$2.9K
Floor
0.667Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+48%
+0.324Ξ over floor

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own premium over a floor-grade Moonbird, learned from recent Moonbirds sales. They combine (not add) into the +48% above floor.

Aviators
-1%
Bow
-4%
Skeleton
-5%
Bone
-5%
Gray
-8%
Long
-15%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Moonbird you could buy right now (0.667Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Moonbirds sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The 80% range is 0.710Ξ1.155Ξ; on a hold-out of recent sales the premium lands within ±5% on 19% of items. See the full backtest →

#

How fast will it sell?

Your estimated chance of selling at each listing price (blue), and the chance an owner takes a bid at each price (green). List closer to the floor to sell faster.

To reach roughly 80% sale likelihood, list around 0.876Ξ. Modeled from real price dispersion, so it's directional, not a guarantee.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity