AppraisrAppraisr
mfers #1768

#1768

zombie eyeszombie mfergold chainsmilelong hair yellowsub lantern (green)graveyardblack headphones
View on OpenSea โ†—
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fair value
1.399ฮž
$2.6K
Floor
0.189ฮž
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+642%
+1.210ฮž over floor

๐ŸŒŸ Grail โ€” thinly traded

supported evidence

This is a 1-of-1 / hyper-rare trait. The estimate uses 33 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how mfers's other ultra-rare items trade against floor. The range 0.856ฮžโ€“1.886ฮž is the middle half (P25โ€“P75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ€” its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.

Evidence: 2 token sales ยท 1 comparable rare asks ยท no standing bid.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor โ€” the cheapest mfer you could buy right now (0.189ฮž) โ€” and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real mfers sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.856ฮžโ€“1.886ฮž. Local evidence is medium (14.0 effective comparables, best similarity 21%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 39% of items. See the full evaluation โ†’

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Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.612ฮž. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity