AppraisrAppraisr
mfers #214

#214

zombie eyeszombie mfersmilecollared shirt turquoisecig whitesub blackgraveyardblack headphonesheadband blue/white
View on OpenSea โ†—
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fair value
1.600ฮž
$3K
Floor
0.188ฮž
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+751%
+1.412ฮž over floor

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best offer 1.600ฮž โ€” sell instantly

๐ŸŒŸ Grail โ€” thinly traded

supported evidence

This is a 1-of-1 / hyper-rare trait. The estimate uses 33 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how mfers's other ultra-rare items trade against floor. The range 1.600ฮžโ€“1.881ฮž is the middle half (P25โ€“P75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ€” its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.

Evidence: 2 token sales ยท 2 comparable rare asks ยท executable specific bid.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor โ€” the cheapest mfer you could buy right now (0.188ฮž) โ€” and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real mfers sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 1.600ฮžโ€“1.881ฮž. Local evidence is high (13.5 effective comparables, best similarity 28%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 39% of items. See the full evaluation โ†’

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.682ฮž. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity