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Meebits

Meebits

20,000 items · Type types

OpenSea ↗
Accuracy

How accurate is the Meebits model?

Every estimate is benchmarked against real sales the model never trained on (a seeded 80/20 hold-out).

Median accuracy
90.2%
Mean accuracy
86.4%
Within ±5%
30%
Within ±10%
51%
Within ±20%
74%
Bias
-10.4%

Weekly median accuracy

Hold-out accuracy by week

Error distribution

Signed % error on recent sales (0 = perfect)

Recent sales vs model

The 60 most recent sales, each valued as of its sale date

ItemTypeDateSaleModelErrorAccuracy
#7708HumanJun 13, 20260.367Ξ0.364Ξ+0.7%99.3%
#8262HumanJun 13, 20260.450Ξ0.390Ξ+15.4%84.6%
#13282HumanJun 13, 20260.396Ξ0.390Ξ+1.6%98.4%
#1960HumanJun 13, 20261.340Ξ0.934Ξ+43.4%56.6%
#8952HumanJun 13, 20261.049Ξ0.889Ξ+18.0%82.0%
#587HumanJun 13, 20260.404Ξ0.423Ξ-4.4%95.6%
#10510HumanJun 12, 20261.100Ξ0.851Ξ+29.3%70.7%
#3615HumanJun 12, 20260.998Ξ0.850Ξ+17.4%82.6%
#2738HumanJun 12, 20261.049Ξ0.862Ξ+21.8%78.3%
#587HumanJun 12, 20260.367Ξ0.423Ξ-13.2%86.8%
#11794HumanJun 12, 20260.750Ξ0.490Ξ+53.1%46.9%
#10657HumanJun 11, 20260.585Ξ0.516Ξ+13.4%86.6%
#13282HumanJun 11, 20260.368Ξ0.390Ξ-5.7%94.3%
#3791HumanJun 11, 20260.404Ξ0.395Ξ+2.4%97.6%
#10567HumanJun 11, 20260.690Ξ0.597Ξ+15.6%84.4%
#7708HumanJun 10, 20260.373Ξ0.365Ξ+2.3%97.7%
#10946HumanJun 10, 20260.381Ξ0.372Ξ+2.2%97.8%
#2520HumanJun 10, 20260.373Ξ0.389Ξ-4.1%95.9%
#3791HumanJun 10, 20260.367Ξ0.395Ξ-7.1%92.9%
#9001HumanJun 10, 20260.367Ξ0.379Ξ-3.2%96.8%
#648HumanJun 10, 20260.388Ξ0.390Ξ-0.5%99.5%
#1045HumanJun 10, 20260.400Ξ0.407Ξ-1.8%98.2%
#1738HumanJun 9, 20260.449Ξ0.394Ξ+13.8%86.2%
#10567HumanJun 9, 20260.511Ξ0.597Ξ-14.5%85.5%
#4507HumanJun 9, 20260.368Ξ0.376Ξ-2.1%97.9%
#19783HumanJun 9, 20260.500Ξ0.401Ξ+24.8%75.2%
#10946HumanJun 9, 20260.368Ξ0.372Ξ-1.2%98.8%
#8529HumanJun 9, 20260.368Ξ0.365Ξ+0.8%99.3%
#18604HumanJun 8, 20260.403Ξ0.372Ξ+8.5%91.5%
#17999HumanJun 8, 20260.413Ξ0.385Ξ+7.1%92.9%
#17999HumanJun 8, 20260.379Ξ0.385Ξ-1.7%98.3%
#10096HumanJun 8, 20260.379Ξ0.399Ξ-5.1%95.0%
#12624HumanJun 8, 20260.949Ξ0.773Ξ+22.9%77.2%
#14609HumanJun 8, 20260.387Ξ0.380Ξ+1.8%98.2%
#16775HumanJun 8, 20260.388Ξ0.382Ξ+1.7%98.4%
#2096HumanJun 8, 20260.440Ξ0.405Ξ+8.7%91.3%
#7708HumanJun 8, 20260.387Ξ0.365Ξ+6.0%94.0%
#4507HumanJun 8, 20260.400Ξ0.376Ξ+6.4%93.6%
#15978HumanJun 7, 20260.440Ξ0.382Ξ+15.1%84.9%
#17107HumanJun 7, 20260.550Ξ0.429Ξ+28.3%71.7%

Method details on the methodology page.