AppraisrAppraisr
Lil Pudgys #8214

#8214

Scarf GreenReading Cross EyedChef's HatTiger WhiteMintStickSpoon Gold
View on OpenSea โ†—
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fair value
0.492ฮž
$920.4
Floor
0.380ฮž
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+29%
+0.112ฮž over floor

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best offer 0.492ฮž โ€” sell instantly

Listed at 1.100ฮž โ€” 124% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

๐ŸŒŸ Grail โ€” thinly traded

supported evidence

Right Flipper: Spoon Gold is a ultra-rare trait. The estimate uses 553 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how other Right Flipper items in Lil Pudgys trade against floor. The range 0.492ฮžโ€“0.492ฮž is the middle half (P25โ€“P75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ€” its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.

Evidence: 2 token sales ยท 0 comparable rare asks ยท executable specific bid ยท active token ask.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor โ€” the cheapest Lil Pudgy you could buy right now (0.380ฮž) โ€” and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Lil Pudgys sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.492ฮžโ€“0.492ฮž. Local evidence is high (2.3 effective comparables, best similarity 100%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 69% of items. See the full evaluation โ†’

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 0/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.419ฮž versus the current ask of 1.100ฮž. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity