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Lil Pudgys #20229

#20229

Shark Tooth NecklaceGoggles YellowMohawk RedBaby PinkBeigeNoneNone
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🔮 Fair value
0.597Ξ
$1.8K
Floor
0.513Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+16%
+0.084Ξ over floor

Listed at 0.650Ξ9% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Lil Pudgy you could buy right now (0.513Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Lil Pudgys sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The 80% range is 0.530Ξ0.673Ξ; on a hold-out of recent sales the premium lands within ±5% on 44% of items. See the full backtest →

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How fast will it sell?

Your estimated chance of selling at each listing price (blue), and the chance an owner takes a bid at each price (green). List closer to the floor to sell faster.

~36% sale chance at current ask

To reach roughly 80% sale likelihood, list around 0.565Ξ versus the current ask of 0.650Ξ. Modeled from real price dispersion, so it's directional, not a guarantee.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity