AppraisrAppraisr
Lil Pudgys #16809

#16809

Basketball Jersey BlackCuteEarmuffsTigerLavendarNoneNone
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🔮 Fair value
0.412Ξ
$770.4
Floor
0.380Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+8%
+0.032Ξ over floor

Listed at 0.520Ξ26% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Lil Pudgy, from recent Lil Pudgyssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Lil Pudgy). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Lil Pudgysactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Earmuffs
-1%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Lil Pudgy you could buy right now (0.380Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Lil Pudgys sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.391Ξ0.452Ξ. Local evidence is high (6.8 effective comparables, best similarity 100%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 69% of items. See the full evaluation →

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Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 7/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.391Ξ versus the current ask of 0.520Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity