Listed at 1.940ฮ โ 386% above fair value
Overpaying for traits๐ Grail โ thinly traded
supported evidenceBody: Gold Chain is a ultra-rare trait. The estimate uses 1576 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how other Body items in Lil Pudgys trade against floor. The range 0.388ฮโ0.411ฮ is the middle half (P25โP75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.
Evidence: 0 token sales ยท 8 comparable rare asks ยท collection bid only ยท active token ask.
How this value is formed
We start from the live floor โ the cheapest Lil Pudgy you could buy right now (0.380ฮ) โ and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Lil Pudgys sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.388ฮโ0.411ฮ. Local evidence is high (12.7 effective comparables, best similarity 45%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 69% of items. See the full evaluation โ
Price sensitivity
Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.
A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.387ฮ versus the current ask of 1.940ฮ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.
Comparable recent sales
The closest real sales by trait similarity
