AppraisrAppraisr
Lil Pudgys #16611

#16611

Football Jersey NavyCross EyedParty HatVolcanic TanRedNonePlushie Red
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
0.381Ξ
$710.6
Floor
0.381Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
floor-grade

Listed at 0.430Ξ13% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Lil Pudgy, from recent Lil Pudgyssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Lil Pudgy). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Lil Pudgysactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Party Hat
-1%
Plushie Red
-1%
Volcanic Tan
-2%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Lil Pudgy you could buy right now (0.381Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Lil Pudgys sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.381Ξ0.420Ξ. Local evidence is high (3.6 effective comparables, best similarity 100%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 69% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 24/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.381Ξ versus the current ask of 0.430Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity