AppraisrAppraisr
Lil Pudgys #1494

#1494

Kimono IceGoggles YellowSanta HatBlueBlueBalloon Sword RedKite Green
View on OpenSea โ†—
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fair value
0.621ฮž
$1.2K
Floor
0.380ฮž
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+63%
+0.241ฮž over floor

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best offer 0.621ฮž โ€” sell instantly

Listed at 1.600ฮž โ€” 158% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

๐ŸŒŸ Grail โ€” thinly traded

supported evidence

Body: Kimono Ice is a ultra-rare trait. The estimate uses 1576 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how other Body items in Lil Pudgys trade against floor. The range 0.621ฮžโ€“0.621ฮž is the middle half (P25โ€“P75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ€” its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.

Evidence: 0 token sales ยท 0 comparable rare asks ยท executable specific bid ยท active token ask.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor โ€” the cheapest Lil Pudgy you could buy right now (0.380ฮž) โ€” and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Lil Pudgys sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.621ฮžโ€“0.621ฮž. Local evidence is high (13.1 effective comparables, best similarity 22%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 69% of items. See the full evaluation โ†’

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Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 0/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.464ฮž versus the current ask of 1.600ฮž. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity