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Lil Pudgys #14824

#14824

Pjs Dots OrangeCross EyedSideways GreenPoison YellowTangerineNoneCandy Cane Green
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🔮 Fair value
0.568Ξ
$1.7K
Floor
0.510Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+11%
+0.058Ξ over floor

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Lil Pudgy, from recent Lil Pudgyssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Lil Pudgy). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Lil Pudgysactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Pjs Dots Orange
+2%
Tangerine
+1%
Candy Cane Green
+1%
Sideways Green
-1%
Cross Eyed
-2%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Lil Pudgy you could buy right now (0.510Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Lil Pudgys sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The 80% range is 0.510Ξ0.653Ξ; on a hold-out of recent sales the premium lands within ±5% on 45% of items. See the full backtest →

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How fast will it sell?

Your estimated chance of selling at each listing price (blue), and the chance an owner takes a bid at each price (green). List closer to the floor to sell faster.

To reach roughly 80% sale likelihood, list around 0.537Ξ. Modeled from real price dispersion, so it's directional, not a guarantee.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity