AppraisrAppraisr
Lil Pudgys #12381

#12381

Tube DonutStar GlassesBucket Hat RedLight GrayBeigeNoneGolden Plunger
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
0.867Ξ
$1.6K
Floor
0.380Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+128%
+0.487Ξ over floor

💰 Best offer 0.417Ξ — sell instantly · a funded bid on Face: Star Glasses

Listed at 1.880Ξ117% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Lil Pudgy, from recent Lil Pudgyssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Lil Pudgy). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Lil Pudgysactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Golden Plunger
+120%
Star Glasses
+8%
Bucket Hat Red
-1%
Light Gray
-1%
Beige
-1%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Lil Pudgy you could buy right now (0.380Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Lil Pudgys sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.813Ξ0.973Ξ. Local evidence is high (12.2 effective comparables, best similarity 42%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 69% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 0/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.551Ξ versus the current ask of 1.880Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity