🎯 Priced off recent duck sales
last-sale pegDoodles duck sales are the benchmark here. Last one sold 2.990Ξ when the floor was 0.476Ξ (May 31); the one before went 2.520Ξ at a 0.485Ξ floor (May 29). Adjusted to today's 0.329Ξ floor, that puts it at 2.408Ξ.
Rare kinds trade too seldom to price statistically, so we peg to what the last ones actually sold for — weighted toward the most recent, and only partly adjusted for the floor, because grails hold value better than the floor when it falls.
What's driving the premium
Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Doodle, from recent Doodlessales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Doodle). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable Doodlesactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.
How this value is formed
We start from the live floor — the cheapest Doodle you could buy right now (0.329Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Doodles sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 2.045Ξ–2.951Ξ. Local evidence is low (12.8 effective comparables, best similarity 30%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 52% of items. See the full evaluation →
Price sensitivity
Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.
A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 1.057Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.
Comparable recent sales
The closest real sales by trait similarity






