AppraisrAppraisr
Doodles #586

#586

yellow backpackrainbow pukesailoryellowhoopfire
View on OpenSea โ†—
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fair value
1.330ฮž
$2.5K
Floor
0.383ฮž
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+247%
+0.947ฮž over floor

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best offer 1.160ฮž โ€” sell instantly

Listed at 2.100ฮž โ€” 58% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

๐ŸŒŸ Grail โ€” thinly traded

supported evidence

This is a 1-of-1 / hyper-rare trait. The estimate uses 43 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how Doodles's other ultra-rare items trade against floor. The range 1.160ฮžโ€“2.100ฮž is the middle half (P25โ€“P75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ€” its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.

Evidence: 4 token sales ยท 0 comparable rare asks ยท executable specific bid ยท active token ask.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor โ€” the cheapest Doodle you could buy right now (0.383ฮž) โ€” and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Doodles sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 1.160ฮžโ€“2.100ฮž. Local evidence is high (9.4 effective comparables, best similarity 100%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 50% of items. See the full evaluation โ†’

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 6/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.715ฮž versus the current ask of 2.100ฮž. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity