CryptoPunks

9,994 items · type types

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Accuracy

How accurate is the CryptoPunks model?

Every estimate is benchmarked against real sales the model never trained on (a seeded 80/20 hold-out).

Median accuracy

92.7%

Mean accuracy

90.0%

Within ±5%

37%

Within ±10%

64%

Within ±20%

88%

Bias

+0.1%

Weekly median accuracy

Hold-out accuracy by week

Error distribution

Signed % error on recent sales (0 = perfect)

Recent sales vs model

The 60 most recent sales, each valued as of its sale date

Item	type	Date	Sale	Model	Error	Accuracy
#242	Female	Jun 17, 2026	32.04Ξ	30.50Ξ	+5.1%	94.9%
#8918	Male	Jun 16, 2026	38.99Ξ	34.49Ξ	+13.1%	87.0%
#628	Female	Jun 16, 2026	31.75Ξ	30.92Ξ	+2.7%	97.3%
#2903	Female	Jun 16, 2026	32.69Ξ	33.81Ξ	-3.3%	96.7%
#1905	Male	Jun 15, 2026	32.95Ξ	32.64Ξ	+1.0%	99.1%
#4153	Female	Jun 14, 2026	41.53Ξ	36.62Ξ	+13.4%	86.6%
#5092	Male	Jun 13, 2026	200.0Ξ	68.84Ξ	+190.5%	-90.5%
#2595	Male	Jun 13, 2026	31.85Ξ	32.29Ξ	-1.4%	98.6%
#7076	Female	Jun 13, 2026	41.00Ξ	32.39Ξ	+26.6%	73.4%
#1475	Female	Jun 13, 2026	40.00Ξ	33.62Ξ	+19.0%	81.0%
#9706	Male	Jun 12, 2026	42.07Ξ	34.85Ξ	+20.7%	79.3%
#8659	Male	Jun 12, 2026	48.88Ξ	35.26Ξ	+38.6%	61.4%
#8332	Male	Jun 11, 2026	31.17Ξ	33.43Ξ	-6.8%	93.2%
#9541	Male	Jun 11, 2026	36.90Ξ	36.83Ξ	+0.2%	99.8%
#2303	Male	Jun 11, 2026	33.00Ξ	34.30Ξ	-3.8%	96.2%
#3774	Female	Jun 11, 2026	35.51Ξ	31.75Ξ	+11.9%	88.2%
#5151	Male	Jun 11, 2026	38.94Ξ	34.40Ξ	+13.2%	86.8%
#8955	Female	Jun 10, 2026	34.00Ξ	32.80Ξ	+3.7%	96.4%
#4986	Male	Jun 8, 2026	49.99Ξ	36.73Ξ	+36.1%	63.9%
#1905	Male	Jun 7, 2026	32.50Ξ	32.71Ξ	-0.7%	99.4%
#9233	Male	Jun 5, 2026	33.99Ξ	33.36Ξ	+1.9%	98.1%
#3168	Male	Jun 5, 2026	32.00Ξ	32.10Ξ	-0.3%	99.7%
#5403	Male	Jun 5, 2026	31.90Ξ	33.24Ξ	-4.0%	96.0%
#4769	Female	Jun 5, 2026	36.25Ξ	35.75Ξ	+1.4%	98.6%
#4920	Male	Jun 5, 2026	34.00Ξ	33.63Ξ	+1.1%	98.9%
#5887	Male	Jun 5, 2026	31.90Ξ	32.12Ξ	-0.7%	99.3%
#4105	Female	Jun 5, 2026	30.87Ξ	31.77Ξ	-2.8%	97.2%
#2409	Female	Jun 5, 2026	30.88Ξ	30.73Ξ	+0.5%	99.5%
#7834	Female	Jun 5, 2026	30.86Ξ	30.73Ξ	+0.4%	99.6%
#2837	Female	Jun 5, 2026	30.85Ξ	30.73Ξ	+0.4%	99.6%
#3042	Female	Jun 5, 2026	30.83Ξ	30.75Ξ	+0.3%	99.7%
#9691	Female	Jun 5, 2026	30.80Ξ	31.03Ξ	-0.8%	99.3%
#5163	Male	Jun 5, 2026	33.00Ξ	33.73Ξ	-2.2%	97.8%
#8863	Male	Jun 5, 2026	33.90Ξ	36.00Ξ	-5.8%	94.2%
#2659	Female	Jun 5, 2026	30.79Ξ	30.73Ξ	+0.2%	99.8%
#9433	Female	Jun 5, 2026	30.50Ξ	31.34Ξ	-2.7%	97.3%
#9548	Male	Jun 5, 2026	31.95Ξ	34.73Ξ	-8.0%	92.0%
#4460	Male	Jun 5, 2026	32.00Ξ	33.49Ξ	-4.5%	95.6%
#7036	Male	Jun 5, 2026	31.50Ξ	35.78Ξ	-12.0%	88.0%
#5163	Male	Jun 4, 2026	30.78Ξ	33.79Ξ	-8.9%	91.1%

Method details on the methodology page.