AppraisrAppraisr
CryptoPunks #8651

#8651

Male
Shadow BeardCowboy HatHorned Rim GlassesClown Nose4 attributesLight
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
56.88Ξ
$106.7K
Floor
31.70Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+79%
+25.18Ξ over floor

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Punk, from recent CryptoPunkssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Punk). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable CryptoPunksactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Light
+10%
Cowboy Hat
+2%
Shadow Beard
-27%
Clown Nose
-29%
4 attributes
-29%
Horned Rim Glasses
-30%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Punk you could buy right now (31.70Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real CryptoPunks sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 49.89Ξ65.44Ξ. Local evidence is high (13.6 effective comparables, best similarity 62%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 44% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 40.51Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity