AppraisrAppraisr
CryptoPunks #8407

#8407

Male
CigaretteVRFedoraNormal Beard4 attributesLight
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
53.86Ξ
$100.6K
Floor
31.70Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+70%
+22.16Ξ over floor

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Punk, from recent CryptoPunkssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Punk). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable CryptoPunksactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Light
+10%
VR
-18%
Cigarette
-28%
Fedora
-28%
Normal Beard
-29%
4 attributes
-29%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Punk you could buy right now (31.70Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real CryptoPunks sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 47.51Ξ61.58Ξ. Local evidence is high (13.7 effective comparables, best similarity 62%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 44% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 39.46Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity