AppraisrAppraisr
CryptoPunks #4407

#4407

Male
Shadow BeardBig ShadesWild Hair3 attributesDark
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
39.63Ξ
$74.3K
Floor
31.70Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+25%
+7.930Ξ over floor

Listed at 119.0Ξ200% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Punk, from recent CryptoPunkssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Punk). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable CryptoPunksactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Big Shades
-23%
Shadow Beard
-27%
Wild Hair
-28%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Punk you could buy right now (31.70Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real CryptoPunks sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 34.90Ξ45.39Ξ. Local evidence is high (13.4 effective comparables, best similarity 84%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 44% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 0/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 34.48Ξ versus the current ask of 119.0Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity