AppraisrAppraisr
CryptoPunks #1263

#1263

Male
Normal BeardWild Hair2 attributesLight
View on OpenSea ↗
🔮 Fair value
42.09Ξ
$78.9K
Floor
31.70Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+33%
+10.39Ξ over floor

Listed at 79.50Ξ89% above fair value

Overpaying for traits

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade Punk, from recent CryptoPunkssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline Punk). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable CryptoPunksactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

Light
+10%
Wild Hair
-28%
Normal Beard
-29%
2 attributes
-33%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest Punk you could buy right now (31.70Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real CryptoPunks sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 37.03Ξ48.26Ξ. Local evidence is high (13.6 effective comparables, best similarity 83%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 44% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

Current ask index: 2/100

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 35.34Ξ versus the current ask of 79.50Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity