๐ Grail โ thinly traded
supported evidenceHair: WHT Horn Headband is a ultra-rare trait. The estimate uses 1766 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how other Hair items in CLONE X trade against floor. The range 0.303ฮโ0.429ฮ is the middle half (P25โP75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.
Evidence: 4 token sales ยท 8 comparable rare asks ยท collection bid only.
How this value is formed
We start from the live floor โ the cheapest Clone you could buy right now (0.278ฮ) โ and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real CLONE X sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.303ฮโ0.429ฮ. Local evidence is low (0.0 effective comparables, best similarity 0%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 38% of items. See the full evaluation โ
Price sensitivity
Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.
A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.301ฮ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.
Comparable recent sales
The closest real sales by trait similarity
