AppraisrAppraisr
Accuracy

How accurate is the BEANZ Official model?

Every estimate is benchmarked against real sales the model never trained on (a seeded 80/20 hold-out).

Median accuracy
95.4%
Mean accuracy
89.9%
Within ±5%
51%
Within ±10%
66%
Within ±20%
85%
Bias
-3.3%

Weekly median accuracy

Hold-out accuracy by week

Error distribution

Signed % error on recent sales (0 = perfect)

Recent sales vs model

The 60 most recent sales, each valued as of its sale date

ItemDateSaleModelErrorAccuracy
#8282Jun 16, 20260.045Ξ0.048Ξ-4.9%95.1%
#18856Jun 16, 20260.054Ξ0.050Ξ+9.7%90.3%
#9912Jun 16, 20260.047Ξ0.050Ξ-5.3%94.8%
#9912Jun 16, 20260.065Ξ0.050Ξ+30.6%69.4%
#18260Jun 16, 20260.066Ξ0.052Ξ+27.3%72.7%
#8729Jun 16, 20260.090Ξ0.063Ξ+42.3%57.7%
#14960Jun 16, 20260.047Ξ0.045Ξ+5.0%95.0%
#18680Jun 16, 20260.046Ξ0.048Ξ-4.3%95.7%
#4068Jun 16, 20260.047Ξ0.045Ξ+4.6%95.4%
#1192Jun 15, 20260.046Ξ0.044Ξ+4.2%95.8%
#4068Jun 15, 20260.046Ξ0.045Ξ+0.9%99.1%
#8282Jun 15, 20260.060Ξ0.048Ξ+25.4%74.6%
#121Jun 15, 20260.058Ξ0.048Ξ+20.5%79.5%
#398Jun 15, 20260.050Ξ0.046Ξ+7.1%92.9%
#684Jun 15, 20260.046Ξ0.046Ξ+1.0%99.0%
#11211Jun 15, 20260.049Ξ0.044Ξ+10.5%89.5%
#17255Jun 15, 20260.047Ξ0.045Ξ+4.4%95.6%
#14360Jun 15, 20260.047Ξ0.048Ξ-0.6%99.4%
#16439Jun 15, 20260.047Ξ0.045Ξ+4.1%95.9%
#11253Jun 15, 20260.047Ξ0.048Ξ-2.3%97.7%
#6774Jun 15, 20260.056Ξ0.052Ξ+7.4%92.6%
#3969Jun 15, 20260.047Ξ0.045Ξ+3.5%96.5%
#11253Jun 15, 20260.045Ξ0.048Ξ-7.3%92.7%
#7915Jun 15, 20260.047Ξ0.046Ξ+2.9%97.1%
#19572Jun 15, 20260.047Ξ0.044Ξ+7.6%92.4%
#10108Jun 15, 20260.047Ξ0.049Ξ-2.9%97.1%
#4657Jun 15, 20260.047Ξ0.044Ξ+7.5%92.5%
#2489Jun 15, 20260.045Ξ0.044Ξ+3.4%96.6%
#9433Jun 14, 20260.046Ξ0.054Ξ-15.1%84.9%
#3340Jun 14, 20260.057Ξ0.047Ξ+21.1%78.9%
#11686Jun 14, 20260.076Ξ0.060Ξ+26.7%73.3%
#7869Jun 14, 20260.045Ξ0.043Ξ+4.6%95.4%
#13400Jun 14, 20260.208Ξ0.157Ξ+32.5%67.5%
#10012Jun 14, 20260.050Ξ0.044Ξ+12.6%87.4%
#8199Jun 14, 20260.046Ξ0.045Ξ+1.3%98.8%
#13765Jun 14, 20260.044Ξ0.042Ξ+5.2%94.8%
#3022Jun 14, 20260.044Ξ0.043Ξ+2.5%97.5%
#19027Jun 14, 20260.044Ξ0.044Ξ+0.8%99.2%
#3279Jun 14, 20260.046Ξ0.044Ξ+4.8%95.2%
#7113Jun 14, 20260.047Ξ0.046Ξ+0.8%99.2%

Method details on the methodology page.