
#4257
๐ฐ Best offer 0.691ฮ โ sell instantly
Listed at 25.00ฮ โ 949% above fair value
Overpaying for traits๐ฏ Priced off recent Gold sales
last-sale pegrektguy Gold sales are the benchmark here. Last one sold 2.600ฮ when the floor was 0.205ฮ (May 4); the one before went 6.900ฮ at a 0.782ฮ floor (Jul 30). Adjusted to today's 0.127ฮ floor, that puts it at 2.383ฮ.
Rare kinds trade too seldom to price statistically, so we peg to what the last ones actually sold for โ weighted toward the most recent, and only partly adjusted for the floor, because grails hold value better than the floor when it falls.
What's driving the premium
Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade rektguy, from recent rektguysales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline rektguy). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable rektguyactually sold for โ see โComparable recent salesโ below โ so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.
How this value is formed
We start from the live floor โ the cheapest rektguy you could buy right now (0.127ฮ) โ and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real rektguy sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 1.996ฮโ2.964ฮ. Local evidence is high (13.1 effective comparables, best similarity 25%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 34% of items. See the full evaluation โ
Price sensitivity
Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.
A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.917ฮ versus the current ask of 25.00ฮ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.
Comparable recent sales
The closest real sales by trait similarity





