AppraisrAppraisr
rektguy #4051

#4051

High Voltage VioletFairy LightsWAGMI ToxicLimeadeCantaloupeBlackStrobes Crimson
View on OpenSea โ†—
๐Ÿ”ฎ Fair value
1.260ฮž
$2.4K
Floor
0.200ฮž
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+531%
+1.060ฮž over floor

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best offer 1.260ฮž โ€” sell instantly

๐ŸŒŸ Grail โ€” thinly traded

supported evidence

Hoody: Fairy Lights is a ultra-rare trait. The estimate uses 292 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how other Hoody items in rektguy trade against floor. The range 1.260ฮžโ€“1.260ฮž is the middle half (P25โ€“P75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ€” its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.

Evidence: 2 token sales ยท 3 comparable rare asks ยท executable specific bid.

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor โ€” the cheapest rektguy you could buy right now (0.200ฮž) โ€” and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real rektguy sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 1.260ฮžโ€“1.260ฮž. Local evidence is high (8.7 effective comparables, best similarity 100%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 38% of items. See the full evaluation โ†’

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Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.571ฮž. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity