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mfers #2860

#2860

regular eyescharcoal mfersmilecollared shirt greencig whitegreenpilot helmet
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🔮 Fair value
1.025Ξ
$2.7K
Floor
0.161Ξ
cheapest right now
Trait premium
+537%
+0.864Ξ over floor

🎯 Priced off recent pilot helmet sales

last-sale peg

mfers pilot helmet sales are the benchmark here. Last one sold 1.150Ξ when the floor was 0.219Ξ (May 14); the one before went 1.244Ξ at a 0.220Ξ floor (May 6). Adjusted to today's 0.161Ξ floor, that puts it at 1.025Ξ.

Rare kinds trade too seldom to price statistically, so we peg to what the last ones actually sold for — weighted toward the most recent, and only partly adjusted for the floor, because grails hold value better than the floor when it falls.

What's driving the premium

Each trait's own effect on value vs a floor-grade mfer, from recent mferssales (a minus means it's slightly less desirable than a baseline mfer). The fair value is anchored mostly to what comparable mfersactually sold for — see “Comparable recent sales” below — so these fine-tune rather than adding up to the headline premium.

pilot helmet
-48%

How this value is formed

We start from the live floor — the cheapest mfer you could buy right now (0.161Ξ) — and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real mfers sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.839Ξ1.184Ξ. Local evidence is high (13.8 effective comparables, best similarity 64%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ±5% on 36% of items. See the full evaluation →

#

Price sensitivity

Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.

A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.463Ξ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.

Comparable recent sales

The closest real sales by trait similarity