#443
๐ฐ Best offer 0.572ฮ โ sell instantly
Listed at 2.690ฮ โ 226% above fair value
Overpaying for traits๐ Grail โ thinly traded
supported evidenceOutfit: Museum Guard is a ultra-rare trait. The estimate uses 37 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how other Outfit items in Chimpers trade against floor. The range 0.768ฮโ0.960ฮ is the middle half (P25โP75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.
Evidence: 1 token sales ยท 1 comparable rare asks ยท executable specific bid ยท active token ask.
How this value is formed
We start from the live floor โ the cheapest Chimper you could buy right now (0.640ฮ) โ and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Chimpers sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.768ฮโ0.960ฮ. Local evidence is high (3.6 effective comparables, best similarity 88%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 27% of items. See the full evaluation โ
Price sensitivity
Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.
A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.705ฮ versus the current ask of 2.690ฮ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.
Comparable recent sales
The closest real sales by trait similarity
