#4199
Listed at 1.189ฮ โ 43% above fair value
Overpaying for traits๐ Grail โ thinly traded
supported evidenceMouth: Grey Goatee is a ultra-rare trait. The estimate uses 11 same-collection rare-tier sales and is from how other Mouth items in Chimpers trade against floor. The range 0.793ฮโ0.935ฮ is the middle half (P25โP75) of how comparably-rare grails have actually traded against floor โ its width reflects how cleanly rarity prices in this collection.
Evidence: 0 token sales ยท 4 comparable rare asks ยท collection bid only ยท active token ask.
How this value is formed
We start from the live floor โ the cheapest Chimper you could buy right now (0.645ฮ) โ and add the premium this token's traits have earned over the floor in recent real Chimpers sales. So you can see whether a listing is a fair premium or an overpay, instead of guessing at a number. The estimated range is 0.793ฮโ0.935ฮ. Local evidence is high (12.7 effective comparables, best similarity 32%). On the chronological hold-out, estimates land within ยฑ5% on 27% of items. See the full evaluation โ
Price sensitivity
Relative seller- and buyer-side price appeal around the floor and fair value. These are scenario indexes, not measured sale or bid-acceptance probabilities.
A floor-leaning reference for a more competitive ask is 0.710ฮ versus the current ask of 1.189ฮ. Appraisr is collecting listing snapshots and outcomes; time-to-sale probabilities remain unavailable until there is enough observed history to validate them out of sample.
Comparable recent sales
The closest real sales by trait similarity
